Personal income is flat, and investment is nonexistent, except for the government's stimulus spending. The reason investment is flat is real assets continue to deflate in value. Two weeks without bad news does not change this.
Here is the deflation data on PCE, personal consumption expenditures. Not real assets. But indicative of the stagnation, very reminiscent of what Seymour Harris, a Keynesian, expected to result from the end of WW2. Again, absent a reduction in the private debt, there will be no meaningful recovery.
Despite all the worries about inflation, the latest release of the Dallas Fed's Trimmed mean PCE inflation calculations (a measure of the core rate of inflation) indicates that inflation is still headed downward:
"The trimmed mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for Personal Consumption Expenditures"Here are the recent data for the 12-month inflation rate (3/29 release):
12-month Mar-09 2.26 Apr-09 2.24 May-09 2.08 Jun-09 1.94 Jul-09 1.66 Aug-09 1.60 Sep-09 1.45 Oct-09 1.51 Nov-09 1.40 Dec-09 1.37 Jan-10 1.18 Feb-10 1.04